alvisbrigis ([info]alvisbrigis) wrote,
@ 2006-09-25 12:28:00
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Current mood: chipper

Convergence of the Curves
Not only is technology evolving at an exponential rate, so is Information, Communication and Human Intelligence. This is happening autocatalytically.


* Exponential Technology Curve (Ray Kurzweil -- Doubling rate in paradigm shift. )
* Exponential IQ Increase tied to the Exponential Tech Curve (Flynn Effect -- Flynn exponential hypothesis)
* Exponential Information Curve tied to the Tech and IQ Curves (Exponential information: Lyman, Peter and Hal R. Varian ) http://www2.sims.berkeley.edu/research/projects/how-much-info-2003/printable_report.pdf (Article: Knolwedge experiences exponential growth http://news.zdnet.co.uk/hardware/storage/0,39020366,39117457,00.htm)
* Exponential Communication Curve tied to the T,H & I Curves (Cascading ICT curves -- Rogers, Diffusion of Innovation)
* CHIT Curves forcing a change in Environment (not exponential -- this is the ultimate trumper, when this goes exponential, we turn into a black hole): Global Warming, Species Death, Ecosystem Changes, Change in Energy Distribution, Rise of Robots (probably best measured in density and thermodynamics -- CHIT exerts a change over the physical system)




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